Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000335 0.000376 0.000421 0.000473 0.000531 0.000596 0.000673
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000265 0.000324 0.000394 0.000484 0.000597 0.000734 0.000913
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000221 0.000288 0.000373 0.000489 0.000647 0.000854 0.001148
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000181 0.000248 0.000338 0.000468 0.000654 0.000914 0.001309
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000160 0.000228 0.000324 0.000470 0.000691 0.001015 0.001539
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000148 0.000220 0.000324 0.000491 0.000754 0.001163 0.001857
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000131 0.000200 0.000306 0.000480 0.000768 0.001233 0.002063
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000179 0.000281 0.000457 0.000756 0.001259 0.002196
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000170 0.000276 0.000462 0.000792 0.001369 0.002492
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000101 0.000168 0.000280 0.000484 0.000859 0.001542 0.002929
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.000158 0.000269 0.000478 0.000875 0.001623 0.003201
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000151 0.000264 0.000482 0.000910 0.001742 0.003569
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000141 0.000253 0.000474 0.000922 0.001823 0.003880
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000136 0.000249 0.000480 0.000963 0.001970 0.004365
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000130 0.000244 0.000484 0.001001 0.002116 0.004875
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000119 0.000228 0.000463 0.000981 0.002134 0.005085
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000114 0.000224 0.000465 0.001014 0.002275 0.005626
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000114 0.000227 0.000485 0.001090 0.002528 0.006506
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000107 0.000218 0.000475 0.001093 0.002606 0.006932
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000098 0.000203 0.000451 0.001062 0.002593 0.007105
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000095 0.000201 0.000457 0.001102 0.002769 0.007857
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000095 0.000206 0.000479 0.001187 0.003078 0.009078
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000091 0.000199 0.000473 0.001200 0.003191 0.009715